The Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (15 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (American): 25
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1123 | 29% | 2025-11-04 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1004 | 53% | 2025-08-03 | Won |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2025-07-02 | Lost |
| 968 | 945 | 53% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 755 | 979 | 22% | 2025-04-22 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1080 | 39% | 2025-04-20 | Won |
| 947 | 943 | 51% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 960 | 1028 | 40% | 2025-02-15 | Won |
| 1040 | 984 | 58% | 2024-04-11 | Won |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2023-12-11 | Lost |
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2023-09-20 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1080 | 47% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2023-04-20 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 977 vs 1015.5 has a 44.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).