Down Number Two Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1074 | 52% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1154 | 44% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1018 | 1190 | 27% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1177 | 28% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 2023-01-17 | Won |
| 1083 | 1095 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.5 vs 1066.8 has a 47.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).