Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (31 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 49
Defender wins (German (SS)): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-02-26 | Lost |
| 933 | 938 | 49% | 2026-02-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1126 | 952 | 73% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1257 | 1267 | 49% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1013 | 70% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1066 | 1140 | 40% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1013 | 70% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 1063 | 952 | 65% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 942 | 58% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 943 | 1257 | 14% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1163 | 28% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 934 | 1000 | 41% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 1005 | 967 | 55% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1144 | 49% | 2023-05-12 | Won |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1009 | 63% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1186 | 816 | 89% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 952 | 1009 | 42% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 894 | 906 | 48% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 845 | 1086 | 20% | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1018.6 has a 51.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).