Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (31 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 49
Defender wins (German (SS)): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2026-02-26 | Lost |
| 1095 | 915 | 74% | 2026-02-21 | Won |
| 1008 | 1065 | 42% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1170 | 1026 | 70% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1136 | 910 | 79% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1170 | 1136 | 55% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 962 | 879 | 62% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 879 | 1013 | 32% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1243 | 64% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1253 | 1423 | 27% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 1031 | 43% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1136 | 993 | 69% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 919 | 1041 | 33% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 979 | 1031 | 43% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1243 | 991 | 81% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 1068 | 1243 | 27% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 999 | 1039 | 44% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
| 999 | 1147 | 30% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1157 | 1253 | 37% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 999 | 979 | 53% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 881 | 896 | 48% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1198 | 35% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 1026 | 39% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1263 | 61% | 2023-05-12 | Won |
| 1342 | 1008 | 87% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 726 | 92% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1243 | 979 | 82% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 923 | 72% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1090.4 vs 1054.8 has a 55.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).