Raff's Army
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (7 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 5
Defender wins (American): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1188 | 1224 | 45% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1263 | 20% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 1176 | 1174 | 50% | 2023-04-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 1081 | 46% | 2023-02-25 | Lost |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2023-01-29 | Lost |
| 907 | 756 | 70% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1049 has a 52.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).