Agony at Arnautovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1021 | 45% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1008.5 vs 1001.5 has a 51.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).