Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (14 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2026-05-21 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1175 | 53% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 1122 | 998 | 67% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1027 | 49% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1185 | 972 | 77% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1143 | 34% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 951 | 1226 | 17% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1038 | 51% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1226 | 23% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1084 | 966 | 66% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1167 | 786 | 90% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1063.6 has a 49.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).