Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (14 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1179 | 1231 | 43% | 2026-05-21 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1230 | 45% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 1122 | 984 | 69% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 988 | 1028 | 44% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1170 | 985 | 74% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1131 | 37% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 964 | 1226 | 18% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1003 | 998 | 51% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1226 | 22% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 968 | 995 | 46% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1107 | 786 | 86% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 998 | 1217 | 22% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1048.1 vs 1075.5 has a 46.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).