Luchs on the Lookout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (13 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 25
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1236 | 39% | 2025-08-23 | Lost |
| 1122 | 950 | 73% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2025-08-22 | Lost |
| 1141 | 985 | 71% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1130 | 42% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1026 | 964 | 59% | 2022-08-27 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1073 | 45% | 2022-08-19 | Lost |
| 1081 | 964 | 66% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1024 | 975 | 57% | 2022-08-01 | Won |
| 1105 | 786 | 86% | 2022-07-02 | Won |
| 951 | 981 | 46% | 2022-04-26 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2022-03-22 | Lost |
| 1078 | 945 | 68% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1061.2 vs 999.9 has a 58.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).