The Horse They Never Rode
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (5 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1164 | 1057 | 65% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 1120 | 906 | 77% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1052 | 1028 | 53% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1225 | 24% | 2021-10-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1077 vs 1065.2 has a 51.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).