First Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 986 | 52% | 2025-09-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 906 | 66% | 2023-10-27 | Won |
| 1134 | 1113 | 53% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 984 | 969 | 52% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 990 | 1097 | 35% | 2021-12-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-11-23 | Won |
| 1179 | 1231 | 43% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1217 | 48% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062 vs 1059.9 has a 50.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).