First Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 18
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 919 | 77% | 2023-10-27 | Won |
| 1090 | 1241 | 30% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 978 | 1041 | 41% | 2021-12-01 | Won |
| 996 | 999 | 50% | 2021-11-23 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1200 | 46% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1066.9 vs 1093.4 has a 46.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).