First Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1056 | 51% | 2025-09-18 | Lost |
| 1139 | 919 | 78% | 2023-10-27 | Won |
| 1115 | 1156 | 44% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 997 | 997 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 978 | 1028 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Won |
| 1012 | 999 | 52% | 2021-11-23 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1200 | 49% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1067.4 vs 1078 has a 48.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).