The Blood of Lambs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (10 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2026-02-09 | Lost |
| 910 | 878 | 55% | 2025-03-18 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1013 | 52% | 2024-03-04 | Lost |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1024 | 975 | 57% | 2022-02-07 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1150 | 33% | 2021-12-02 | Lost |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1072 | 1130 | 42% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 974.5 vs 1061 has a 37.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).