The Blood of Lambs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (10 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 732 | 1258 | 5% | 2026-02-09 | | Lost |
| 886 | 966 | 39% | 2025-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2025-03-08 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-03-08 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2024-03-04 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2023-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 987 | 60% | 2022-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2021-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2021-09-17 | | Won |
| 1044 | 1098 | 42% | 2021-09-17 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 966.7 vs 1054.3 has a 37.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).