Autumn Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (12 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
881 | 881 | 50% | 2024-04-02 | Lost |
1058 | 1089 | 46% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
875 | 1051 | 27% | 2023-02-05 | Lost |
1038 | 958 | 61% | 2022-10-26 | Won |
919 | 953 | 45% | 2022-09-21 | Lost |
1097 | 1255 | 29% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
1062 | 1165 | 36% | 2022-01-02 | Won |
1046 | 1047 | 50% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
999 | 1074 | 39% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
1074 | 1064 | 51% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
1173 | 882 | 84% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
1129 | 993 | 69% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1034.3 has a 49.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).