Autumn Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (13 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 20
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2025-08-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 873 | 68% | 2024-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1151 | 40% | 2023-07-28 | | Lost |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2023-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2022-10-26 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2022-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1289 | 32% | 2022-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2022-01-02 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 949 | 59% | 2021-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1091 | 48% | 2021-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1091 | 979 | 66% | 2021-05-11 | | Won |
| 1150 | 968 | 74% | 2021-05-10 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1046.2 has a 49.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).