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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Polish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 960 | 60% | 2024-09-24 | Won |
| 750 | 1220 | 6% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1218 | 931 | 84% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2021-08-19 | Won |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2021-08-12 | Lost |
| 1199 | 1210 | 48% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 917 | 988 | 40% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1065.7 has a 49.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).