The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 909 | 54% | 2024-01-15 | Won |
| 746 | 1225 | 6% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 995 | 998 | 50% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
| 924 | 968 | 44% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1097 | 57% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1069 | 1021 | 57% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1083 | 61% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1097 | 68% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1097 | 977 | 67% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1108 | 48% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1039.6 vs 1042.5 has a 49.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).