Pössl’s Posse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (34 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 55
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 1268 | 37% | 2026-03-02 | Won |
| 1044 | 986 | 58% | 2026-02-15 | Won |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2026-01-29 | Lost |
| 1306 | 999 | 85% | 2026-01-02 | Won |
| 951 | 931 | 53% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 957 | 1061 | 35% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1112 | 47% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 915 | 928 | 48% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1037 | 1020 | 52% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1417 | 1434 | 48% | 2025-09-09 | Lost |
| 998 | 1039 | 44% | 2025-03-07 | Tied |
| 1150 | 1155 | 49% | 2024-10-01 | Won |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1030 | 57% | 2024-08-23 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1110 | 55% | 2024-02-07 | Won |
| 991 | 1126 | 31% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1070 | 56% | 2023-01-11 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1126 | 55% | 2022-12-29 | Won |
| 999 | 997 | 50% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 1070 | 977 | 63% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1143 | 35% | 2022-09-17 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1060 | 50% | 2022-08-23 | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 1060 | 1175 | 34% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1039 | 49% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 1161 | 992 | 73% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 948 | 974 | 46% | 2021-09-12 | Tied |
| 1098 | 1118 | 47% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 1198 | 1113 | 62% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1136 | 1079 | 58% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1060 | 50% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1040 | 55% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1082.9 vs 1067.9 has a 52.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).