Carrier Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (10 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 13
Defender wins (Italian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1204 | 50% | 2026-03-08 | Won |
| 1082 | 1053 | 54% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 972 | 974 | 50% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1041 | 65% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 996 | 949 | 57% | 2021-09-02 | Won |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2021-05-05 | Lost |
| 1236 | 980 | 81% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1052 | 1174 | 33% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1035.6 has a 54.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).