True To Form
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (9 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (British): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1258 | 38% | 2026-02-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2024-01-18 | | Lost |
| 966 | 973 | 49% | 2023-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2022-04-14 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2022-04-05 | | Won |
| 984 | 1149 | 28% | 2021-09-29 | | Won |
| 998 | 1198 | 24% | 2021-01-27 | | Won |
| 1198 | 1000 | 76% | 2021-01-04 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1032.6 vs 1090.4 has a 41.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).