Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (31 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 43
Defender wins (German): 36
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Polish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1015 | 51% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 969 | 1032 | 41% | 2024-04-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-02-19 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1269 | 31% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 997 | 984 | 52% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 969 | 1057 | 38% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1001 | 864 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1001 | 864 | 69% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 812 | 822 | 49% | 2023-01-12 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 1074 | 999 | 61% | 2022-10-20 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1048 | 90% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1038 | 42% | 2022-08-24 | Won |
| 881 | 1014 | 32% | 2022-08-24 | Tied |
| 964 | 949 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 919 | 1025 | 35% | 2022-02-08 | Won |
| 881 | 1014 | 32% | 2021-09-23 | Tied |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2021-02-22 | Won |
| 1183 | 1048 | 69% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 1151 | 26% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1062 | 52% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 994 | 1059 | 41% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1196 | 1129 | 60% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 880 | 68% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1109 | 1112 | 50% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1058 | 50% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1047.9 has a 49.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).