Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1028 | 48% | 2023-08-14 | Won |
| 1021 | 983 | 55% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2022-05-03 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1092 | 53% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
| 933 | 1125 | 25% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 967 | 1158 | 25% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 999.8 vs 1061.3 has a 41.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).