Prelude to Bodange
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (5 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Belgian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 989 | 57% | 2021-04-27 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1182 | 27% | 2020-11-05 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2020-10-29 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2019-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-10-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 963.4 vs 1107.6 has a 30.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).