The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (25 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 980 | 76% | 2025-12-13 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1174 | 45% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 1016 | 904 | 66% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 996 | 57% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1117 | 53% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 950 | 58% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 1029 | 74% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1035 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1086 | 1177 | 37% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1053 | 45% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1086 | 918 | 72% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1071 | 917 | 71% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 902 | 941 | 44% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1037 | 47% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1065 | 1023 | 56% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1158 | 853 | 85% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1255 | 1090 | 72% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Won |
| 1064 | 1083 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1085 vs 1023.9 has a 58.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).