Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1018 | 54% | 2025-12-06 | Won |
| 1099 | 966 | 68% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 750 | 1220 | 6% | 2025-09-15 | Lost |
| 966 | 933 | 55% | 2024-10-28 | Lost |
| 919 | 1160 | 20% | 2023-05-29 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-05-26 | Lost |
| 1043 | 959 | 62% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-01-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 1015 | 53% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1035 | 54% | 2019-08-02 | Won |
| 613 | 879 | 18% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 982.1 vs 1033.8 has a 42.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).