Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1126 | 27% | 2026-05-24 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1018 | 59% | 2025-12-06 | Won |
| 1191 | 981 | 77% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 736 | 1182 | 7% | 2025-09-15 | Lost |
| 966 | 926 | 56% | 2024-10-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2023-05-29 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-05-26 | Lost |
| 1082 | 959 | 67% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-01-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1011 | 54% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 1177 | 1164 | 52% | 2021-01-22 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1035 | 58% | 2019-08-02 | Won |
| 613 | 878 | 18% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 937 | 1070 | 32% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 996.6 vs 1032.3 has a 44.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).