Ozarks and Frundsbergers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 1140 | 60% | 2025-08-30 | Won |
| 1208 | 977 | 79% | 2025-08-30 | Won |
| 962 | 1238 | 17% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1347 | 34% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 919 | 1140 | 22% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2023-10-19 | Lost |
| 1102 | 885 | 78% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1208 | 1342 | 32% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 991 | 1108 | 34% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 1146.3 has a 38.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).