Mars Begins
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1045 | 59% | 2022-07-05 | Won |
| 1237 | 994 | 80% | 2022-01-24 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 949 | 1018 | 40% | 2019-10-08 | Lost |
| 1145 | 935 | 77% | 2019-09-25 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1114 vs 1024 has a 62.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).