Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 4
Defender wins (American): 6
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2024-12-23 | D | Won |
| 991 | 1057 | 41% | 2024-03-21 | | Lost |
| 901 | 1230 | 13% | 2021-04-23 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1059 | 39% | 2020-11-06 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1059 | 39% | 2020-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 958 | 75% | 2020-11-06 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-09-30 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2019-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2019-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 990 | 81% | 2019-03-17 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2019-02-18 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1096.5 vs 1035.3 has a 58.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).