Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (38 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 50
Defender wins (Russian): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 1226 | 23% | 2026-06-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1004 | 53% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1160 | 58% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1211 | 38% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1211 | 1179 | 55% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 988 | 925 | 59% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 1057 | 62% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1342 | 22% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1342 | 22% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1434 | 8% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 969 | 54% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1160 | 58% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 977 | 1139 | 28% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1060 | 1139 | 39% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 985 | 786 | 76% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 934 | 1065 | 32% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 953 | 1126 | 27% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1225 | 746 | 94% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1026 | 1135 | 35% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1097 | 951 | 70% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1002 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1117 | 55% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 1142 | 44% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1164 | 31% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1160 | 1143 | 52% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1028 | 61% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 933 | 58% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 997 | 1052 | 42% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1228 | 933 | 85% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1046 | 1215 | 27% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1225 | 28% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 991 | 1097 | 35% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1017 | 1091 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1090.7 has a 46.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).