Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (34 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1252 | 32% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 988 | 891 | 64% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1141 | 1201 | 41% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1219 | 39% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1423 | 9% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 998 | 980 | 53% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 993 | 1139 | 30% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1041 | 1139 | 36% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 975 | 786 | 75% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1062 | 45% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 934 | 1064 | 32% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1023 | 53% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1239 | 755 | 94% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1065 | 951 | 66% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 989 | 51% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1101 | 52% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 1143 | 44% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1163 | 38% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 991 | 1134 | 31% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1075 | 55% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 985 | 50% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 997 | 1037 | 44% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1195 | 985 | 77% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1045 | 1215 | 27% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1239 | 29% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1007 | 1065 | 42% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1084 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1069.1 vs 1070.3 has a 49.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).