Extracurricular Activity
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (13 on the archive and 118 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 54
Defender wins (Russian): 76
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1168 | 967 | 76% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 942 | 942 | 50% | 2024-10-18 | Lost |
| 998 | 1076 | 39% | 2024-10-03 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1161 | 46% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1061 | 933 | 68% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 864 | 934 | 40% | 2021-11-24 | Won |
| 877 | 977 | 36% | 2021-08-23 | Tied |
| 1008 | 989 | 53% | 2021-06-03 | Won |
| 1017 | 1266 | 19% | 2020-05-26 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1147 | 46% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1032 | 978 | 58% | 2020-01-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1199 | 25% | 2019-04-18 | Lost |
| 869 | 1005 | 31% | 2018-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1007.6 vs 1044.2 has a 44.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).