Extracurricular Activity
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (15 on the archive and 118 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 55
Defender wins (Russian): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2026-01-16 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 948 | 79% | 2025-02-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2024-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 940 | 61% | 2024-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2024-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 946 | 67% | 2023-09-17 | | Lost |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2021-11-24 | | Won |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2021-08-23 | | Tied |
| 996 | 1061 | 41% | 2021-06-03 | | Won |
| 1174 | 1258 | 38% | 2020-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-05-02 | | Won |
| 1049 | 989 | 59% | 2020-01-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2019-04-18 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1006 | 48% | 2018-12-05 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1030.1 vs 1013.3 has a 52.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).