Jackpot Jones
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (44 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (American): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 843 | 932 | 37% | 2025-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 931 | 67% | 2024-07-28 | | Lost |
| 818 | 1056 | 20% | 2024-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1038 | 47% | 2022-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1139 | 1435 | 15% | 2022-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1171 | 44% | 2022-06-11 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2022-05-30 | | Won |
| 996 | 1029 | 45% | 2022-02-02 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1152 | 47% | 2020-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 972 | 72% | 2020-06-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2020-06-27 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1183 | 27% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 960 | 56% | 2020-06-27 | | Won |
| 1004 | 949 | 58% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1095 | 27% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-05-17 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2020-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2020-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2020-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2020-01-26 | | Won |
| 950 | 1006 | 42% | 2019-11-18 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2019-10-29 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1133 | 31% | 2019-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2019-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1019 | 87% | 2019-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2019-05-26 | | Won |
| 992 | 1011 | 47% | 2019-05-19 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1091 | 68% | 2019-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1218 | 40% | 2019-04-17 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2019-03-29 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1142 | 38% | 2019-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1087 | 39% | 2019-03-02 | | Won |
| 1062 | 876 | 74% | 2019-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2019-01-01 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-12-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2018-12-01 | | Won |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2018-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 850 | 85% | 2018-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2018-09-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1045.3 has a 49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).