A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 10
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1253 | 1238 | 52% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1030 | 999 | 54% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1097 | 1143 | 43% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1036 | 984 | 57% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 959 | 968 | 49% | 2019-03-07 | Lost |
| 964 | 1140 | 27% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1083 | 826 | 81% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1136 | 1030 | 65% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1217 | 937 | 83% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1086.1 vs 1029.4 has a 58.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).