A Line Too Thinly Held
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (8 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 8
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1098 | 1067 | 54% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
1264 | 1017 | 81% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
1170 | 1014 | 71% | 2023-05-07 | Won |
1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2020-08-21 | Won |
876 | 889 | 48% | 2018-10-23 | Won |
967 | 1157 | 25% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 1055.5 has a 49.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).