Balloons, Cakes and Ponies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (7 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 966 | 66% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 1175 | 983 | 75% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1029 | 64% | 2018-11-22 | Lost |
| 966 | 1090 | 33% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1016 | 51% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1227 | 923 | 85% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 983 | 1143 | 28% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1083.9 vs 1021.4 has a 58.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).