The Right Nostril
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-10-03 | | Won |
| 970 | 1000 | 46% | 2024-01-10 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1015 | 40% | 2020-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1013.3 vs 1025.3 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).