Bicycle Race
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (British): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 692 | 1011 | 14% | 2025-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2023-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 960 | 69% | 2022-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1121 | 991 | 68% | 2021-12-11 | | Won |
| 872 | 1161 | 16% | 2021-11-14 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-07-25 | | Won |
| 1052 | 1131 | 39% | 2017-01-28 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 985.3 vs 1040.6 has a 42.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).