A Simple Solution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (15 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 29
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1038 | 42% | 2026-01-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1279 | 18% | 2025-12-07 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 1037 | 49% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
| 1222 | 1054 | 72% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1109 | 60% | 2019-04-11 | Lost |
| 861 | 1099 | 20% | 2019-02-27 | Won |
| 906 | 950 | 44% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 923 | 1075 | 29% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 1029 | 54% | 2017-02-17 | Won |
| 1220 | 1091 | 68% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1083 | 956 | 68% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1052.6 vs 1055.8 has a 49.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).