A Simple Solution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1282 | 18% | 2025-12-07 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1029 | 1003 | 54% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1054 | 72% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 1025 | 1117 | 37% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1109 | 60% | 2019-04-11 | Lost |
| 861 | 1078 | 22% | 2019-02-27 | Won |
| 906 | 958 | 43% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1025 | 74% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 923 | 1075 | 29% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1117 | 1025 | 63% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 1063 | 1052 | 52% | 2017-02-17 | Won |
| 1220 | 1091 | 68% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1117 | 956 | 72% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1061.4 has a 50.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).