The Haunted Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (29 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 48
Defender wins (German): 53
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 939 | 63% | 2022-03-20 | Won |
| 867 | 882 | 48% | 2021-08-17 | Won |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1165 | 1023 | 69% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2020-04-14 | Lost |
| 1069 | 807 | 82% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1211 | 42% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1014 | 62% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 967 | 1011 | 44% | 2018-09-14 | Won |
| 1110 | 1035 | 61% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1086 | 1116 | 46% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 1069 | 33% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1065 | 963 | 64% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 897 | 905 | 49% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1045 | 1119 | 40% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1310 | 931 | 90% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 982 | 58% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1099 | 1069 | 54% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1255 | 1135 | 67% | 2017-03-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1058 | 995 | 59% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
| 919 | 927 | 49% | 2017-02-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2017-02-26 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1015 | 82% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2017-02-12 | Won |
| 990 | 994 | 49% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1009.1 has a 57.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).