Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (20 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 29
Defender wins (Vichy French): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 888 | 919 | 46% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 919 | 865 | 58% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1217 | 24% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1224 | 1087 | 69% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1253 | 1157 | 63% | 2018-08-08 | Lost |
| 1024 | 875 | 70% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1224 | 26% | 2017-11-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1041 | 52% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1006 | 64% | 2017-06-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1125 | 49% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1081 | 52% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | Won |
| 1173 | 1169 | 51% | 2017-05-26 | Won |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1038.2 has a 53.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).