Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (20 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 29
Defender wins (Vichy French): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 910 | 928 | 47% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 928 | 866 | 59% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1216 | 24% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1087 | 48% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 989 | 698 | 84% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2018-08-08 | Lost |
| 1018 | 875 | 69% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1076 | 45% | 2017-11-10 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1048 | 46% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1081 | 54% | 2017-06-16 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1133 | 52% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1080 | 47% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | Won |
| 1119 | 1182 | 41% | 2017-05-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 1112 | 56% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1031 | 50% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1048.6 vs 1042.1 has a 50.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).