Ace in the Hole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1345 | 1310 | 55% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 854 | 979 | 33% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
| 1126 | 993 | 68% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 983 | 1021 | 45% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1237 | 994 | 80% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 876 | 1084 | 23% | 2020-10-07 | Lost |
| 960 | 908 | 57% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1145 | 935 | 77% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
| 1158 | 1132 | 54% | 2017-04-28 | Lost |
| 967 | 1158 | 25% | 2016-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1051.4 has a 51.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).