The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (15 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-03-03 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-07-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2022-11-29 | | Won |
| 1063 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-09-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2021-11-10 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2021-09-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 921 | 61% | 2021-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2021-05-17 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1131 | 51% | 2020-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-06-08 | | Won |
| 1147 | 970 | 73% | 2019-06-03 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2019-04-05 | | Won |
| 1062 | 876 | 74% | 2018-01-03 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-09-28 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2016-11-05 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1051.6 vs 1002.4 has a 57.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).