Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 165 (13 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 92
Defender wins (American): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 943 | 58% | 2025-03-17 | Won |
| 937 | 1026 | 37% | 2022-06-26 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1077 | 48% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1155 | 53% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 952 | 999 | 43% | 2021-06-24 | Lost |
| 878 | 854 | 53% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1237 | 47% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 934 | 1063 | 32% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1058 | 47% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1040 | 60% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
| 1117 | 1058 | 58% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2016-12-19 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1047.4 vs 1031.5 has a 52.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).