Brush at Tilburg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (11 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (French): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1153 | 1006 | 70% | 2026-04-25 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1000 | 76% | 2026-04-24 | | Won |
| 1141 | 960 | 74% | 2026-04-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2024-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1134 | 40% | 2018-05-03 | | Won |
| 850 | 1147 | 15% | 2018-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1002 | 80% | 2017-10-31 | | Won |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2017-01-26 | | Won |
| 1289 | 1230 | 58% | 2017-01-23 | | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-12-26 | | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1075.3 vs 1025.9 has a 57.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).