The Commissar's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1092 | 1009 | 62% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
1067 | 1020 | 57% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
1231 | 1307 | 39% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
898 | 1037 | 31% | 2020-08-09 | Lost |
1151 | 1037 | 66% | 2020-08-09 | Lost |
923 | 983 | 41% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
959 | 983 | 47% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
1088 | 1006 | 62% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
1032 | 1088 | 42% | 2016-09-08 | Lost |
1045 | 983 | 59% | 2016-07-23 | Lost |
986 | 1126 | 31% | 2016-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1042.9 vs 1052.6 has a 48.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).