The Spearhead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (8 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 13
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 769 | 1250 | 6% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 963 | 1214 | 19% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1242 | 34% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1045 | 70% | 2016-06-27 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1009 | 59% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 954 | 991 | 45% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1013.5 vs 1121.9 has a 34.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).