The Spearhead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 14
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1029 | 54% | 2024-12-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 743 | 1216 | 6% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 929 | 1217 | 16% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1216 | 37% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1160 | 48% | 2016-06-27 | Lost |
| 1097 | 977 | 67% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 924 | 997 | 40% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1000.6 vs 1109 has a 34.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).