Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (19 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1182 | 42% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1206 | 1023 | 74% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 911 | 1006 | 37% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1064 | 30% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1155 | 41% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
| 975 | 1072 | 36% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 1237 | 994 | 80% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 935 | 1068 | 32% | 2018-08-16 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1118 | 67% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1050 | 65% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 908 | 947 | 44% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1155 | 42% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 1086 | 37% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 1002 | 46% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1191 | 27% | 2016-10-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 1012 | 46% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1084 | 42% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.2 vs 1064.7 has a 46.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).