Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (17 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Polish): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1182 | 43% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1255 | 996 | 82% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
| 911 | 1006 | 37% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 931 | 1031 | 36% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1129 | 43% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
| 994 | 1071 | 39% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 976 | 1084 | 35% | 2018-08-16 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1118 | 67% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 927 | 931 | 49% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 1129 | 46% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 1008 | 48% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 1001 | 46% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1141 | 33% | 2016-10-10 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1029 | 48% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1084 | 48% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1052.7 vs 1058.2 has a 49.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).