Going Postal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (19 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 35
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1067 | 43% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1067 | 40% | 2025-01-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 989 | 890 | 64% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 834 | 72% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 967 | 1067 | 36% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 921 | 987 | 41% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1184 | 24% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1059 | 1048 | 52% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1064 | 945 | 66% | 2016-05-09 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1013 | 57% | 2016-04-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 998.2 vs 1014.9 has a 47.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).