Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (20 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1143 | 42% | 2026-11-04 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2025-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1141 | 49% | 2025-08-09 | A | Won |
| 959 | 1019 | 41% | 2025-08-08 | A | Won |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-02-17 | | Lost |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2023-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1007 | 57% | 2023-04-18 | | Lost |
| 996 | 949 | 57% | 2022-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1196 | 1063 | 68% | 2022-08-06 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2022-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1067 | 1028 | 56% | 2019-04-20 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1067 | 59% | 2019-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1108 | 68% | 2018-08-05 | | Won |
| 1163 | 980 | 74% | 2017-10-28 | | Won |
| 862 | 1133 | 17% | 2017-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2016-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2016-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2016-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2016-02-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1049.7 vs 1074.8 has a 46.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).