Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (16 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 23
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1178 | 1146 | 55% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 982 | 1032 | 43% | 2025-08-08 | Won |
| 904 | 904 | 50% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1085 | 46% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 980 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1055 | 66% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1135 | 1274 | 31% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1026 | 48% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1112 | 950 | 72% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 861 | 1099 | 20% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 892 | 982 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1315 | 1274 | 56% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1102 | 37% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1064.2 has a 45.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).