Sealing Their Fate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (18 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 24
Defender wins (German (SS)): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1243 | 1147 | 63% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 950 | 1014 | 41% | 2025-08-08 | Won |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1229 | 1263 | 45% | 2023-08-04 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1041 | 52% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 973 | 999 | 46% | 2022-09-08 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1078 | 63% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 1157 | 1253 | 37% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 914 | 1027 | 34% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1097 | 914 | 74% | 2019-04-06 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1107 | 71% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 1026 | 64% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 861 | 1117 | 19% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 892 | 981 | 37% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1316 | 1253 | 59% | 2016-05-08 | Lost |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2016-03-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1103 | 37% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1074.2 has a 48.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).