Catching the Bear
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (3 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 1134 | 45% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2022-09-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 1243 | 19% | 2017-01-21 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1009.3 vs 1151.7 has a 30.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).