Catching the Bear
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 1160 | 42% | 2025-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2022-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2017-01-21 | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1086 vs 1101.3 has a 47.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).