Catching the Bear
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (2 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 1021 | 45% | 2022-09-16 | Lost |
| 988 | 1237 | 19% | 2017-01-21 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 985.5 vs 1129 has a 30.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).