Breaking Bad
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Dutch): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1149 | 33% | 2026-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2019-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 975 | 59% | 2019-08-25 | | Won |
| 974 | 1150 | 27% | 2019-01-18 | | Lost |
| 958 | 1056 | 36% | 2018-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2016-09-24 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1060 | 62% | 2016-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2016-03-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2015-11-02 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 891 | 72% | 2015-10-07 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1039.2 vs 1080.5 has a 44.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).