Pain In The Neck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1127 | 31% | 2025-04-01 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2023-11-04 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2023-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 947 | 75% | 2020-10-28 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-10-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2019-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2017-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2015-11-20 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1097 | 70% | 2015-04-29 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1020 | 76% | 2015-02-21 | | Won |
| 1310 | 1134 | 73% | 2015-01-17 | | Won |
| 1129 | 1000 | 68% | 2015-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1229 | 21% | 2015-01-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-11-07 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2014-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-10-07 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2014-10-07 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1198 | 42% | 2014-10-07 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1136 | 27% | 2014-05-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1083.8 vs 1062.3 has a 53.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).