To Ashes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (13 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (British): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1126 | 1020 | 65% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 932 | 1026 | 37% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1044 | 53% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1213 | 1158 | 58% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1303 | 23% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1237 | 994 | 80% | 2016-03-27 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1032 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 921 | 1068 | 30% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2015-05-11 | Lost |
| 899 | 908 | 49% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 1022 | 955 | 60% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1035 | 1128 | 37% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1133 | 1058 | 61% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1058.6 has a 50.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).