To Ashes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (17 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (British): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1033 | 41% | 2025-10-11 | Lost |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 932 | 1045 | 34% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1179 | 44% | 2020-08-07 | Won |
| 1073 | 1135 | 41% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1214 | 1139 | 61% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1252 | 25% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1283 | 58% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2016-03-27 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1043 | 66% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1140 | 56% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
| 918 | 1045 | 32% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2015-05-11 | Lost |
| 1103 | 879 | 78% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 955 | 69% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1111 | 1159 | 43% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1136 | 1059 | 61% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1098.2 vs 1086.8 has a 51.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).