The Rimling Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (8 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-11-10 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2020-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2019-10-27 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1143 | 49% | 2016-03-08 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1056 | 37% | 2015-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2015-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2015-03-01 | | Won |
| 1435 | 964 | 94% | 2014-12-18 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1107.9 vs 1076.9 has a 54.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).