The Rimling Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (8 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-11-10 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2020-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2019-10-27 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1187 | 43% | 2016-03-08 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1056 | 39% | 2015-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2015-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2015-03-01 | | Won |
| 1435 | 964 | 94% | 2014-12-18 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1118.4 vs 1082.4 has a 55.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).