Haase to Hold On
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (16 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2022-10-01 | | Lost |
| 961 | 970 | 49% | 2022-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-11-09 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1055 | 62% | 2021-11-09 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1004 | 62% | 2021-10-09 | | Won |
| 861 | 1035 | 27% | 2021-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 982 | 93% | 2020-12-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2020-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2020-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2020-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2019-10-25 | | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2019-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2018-06-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2016-11-22 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2014-10-11 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1102.1 vs 1025 has a 60.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).