The Red Hammer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2018-07-06 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 1098 | 56% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1098 | 56% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1223 | 30% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 982 | 1043 | 41% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1098 | 982 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1041 | 984 | 58% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1035 | 62% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1081 | 40% | 2011-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1102.8 vs 1074.5 has a 54.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).